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macro · valuation · python

Macro Financial Simulation

Solow-Swan growth → CAPM → Gordon Growth → Monte Carlo: move the sliders, watch the justified forward P/E update in real time.

https://github.com/alanvaa06/Macro_Financial_Simulation

Overview

An integrated macro-financial valuation framework. A Solow-Swan growth model with a Cobb-Douglas production function feeds a steady-state real growth rate into a CAPM-based required return, which a Gordon Growth Model then turns into a justified forward P/E ratio. A Monte Carlo layer quantifies the uncertainty around that estimate.

What it does

  • Browser app: open web/index.html, move the sliders, watch the justified forward P/E update live.
  • Clean, typed Python API (import economics_models) for analysts and notebook users.
  • Original research notebook (EconomicGrowth.ipynb) kept for reference.
  • Monte Carlo layer surfaces uncertainty around the central P/E estimate.

Stack

Python · HTML / JS web UI · Jupyter.

Status

Open source. Live, fully interactive, no install required for the browser version.

GitHub →